Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.179329 3.712383 4.322675 5.076467 5.987078 7.057348 8.418940
2025-01-26 2.498905 3.211761 4.125163 5.396937 7.146643 9.505954 12.991181
2025-02-02 2.118121 2.899616 3.979008 5.610599 8.071151 11.738087 17.802212
2025-02-09 1.871878 2.694326 3.900885 5.851874 9.029503 14.190114 23.620480
2025-02-16 1.657227 2.485557 3.762920 5.948995 9.752453 16.412255 29.724644
2025-02-23 1.498008 2.329542 3.669820 6.083672 10.544625 18.922899 37.166933
2025-03-02 1.335049 2.140052 3.486891 6.020725 10.954961 20.813237 44.002488
2025-03-09 1.225766 2.022424 3.403790 6.114799 11.672420 23.482763 53.536677
2025-03-16 1.111296 1.879503 3.253210 6.050372 12.050578 25.525843 62.371920
2025-03-23 1.018035 1.761917 3.131045 6.017680 12.484110 27.805510 72.783235
2025-03-30 0.926466 1.636157 2.975945 5.889481 12.675156 29.555700 82.480600
2025-04-06 0.869879 1.569287 2.925650 5.974344 13.379386 32.808749 98.357337
2025-04-13 0.782550 1.443847 2.763421 5.836294 13.647412 35.377530 114.968906
2025-04-20 0.748009 1.420736 2.813752 6.211843 15.388276 43.020836 156.472861
2025-04-27 0.706741 1.377328 2.812549 6.463531 16.884851 50.676807 205.535475
2025-05-04 0.672002 1.342305 2.823333 6.748015 18.581512 59.922502 272.257518
2025-05-11 0.629765 1.285061 2.773620 6.862619 19.808424 68.200353 344.679900
2025-05-18 0.594627 1.238811 2.742330 7.021621 21.247551 78.212058 442.041339
2025-05-25 0.550667 1.166840 2.637315 6.947293 21.872696 85.240317 531.381653
2025-06-01 0.520569 1.123450 2.597341 7.058384 23.221009 96.505766 673.903648
2025-06-08 0.484818 1.062324 2.502867 6.982297 23.846464 104.775041 809.270021
2025-06-15 0.454242 1.010286 2.425042 6.943698 24.622207 114.493040 982.620411
2025-06-22 0.422094 0.950853 2.319279 6.792386 24.889856 121.705883 1149.562847